Working papers

Bloggs
Risk forecasting models are least reliable when needed the most
November 23, 2024
On the ideal properties of risk measures
November 8, 2024
What genuinely predicts financial crises?
October 14, 2024
The tools my life runs on
September 28, 2024
How the financial authorities can respond to AI threats to financial stability
July 28, 2024
AI financial crises
July 26, 2024
Why so many crises happen when we know why they happen and how to prevent them
May 30, 2024
How the financial authorities can take advantage of artificial intelligence
March 19, 2024
When risk models hallucinate
February 3, 2024
How AI can undermine financial stability
January 22, 2024
Artificial intelligence and financial stability
October 27, 2023
When artificial intelligence becomes a central banker
July 11, 2023
The legacy of cryptocurrencies
June 23, 2023
The fallacy of composition in financial regulations
May 20, 2023
On the perils of regulating an infinitely complex financial system
May 17, 2023
Buffers or shock absorption in regulating finance
April 15, 2023
The case against aggressive government action on crypto
March 29, 2023
What Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse tell us about financial regulations
March 25, 2023
Lessons from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank
March 15, 2023
Risk and scientific socialism
February 11, 2023
Is risk a fate or a choice?
December 15, 2022
The magic of riskometers
December 10, 2022
The beginning of the end for cryptocurrencies
November 29, 2022
How to manipulate risk forecasts and not get caught
November 19, 2022
Perceived and actual risk
November 12, 2022
The illusion of control
November 7, 2022
The McNamara fallacy and the financial Authorities
November 5, 2022
When is a cyberattack systemic?
October 29, 2022
Climate risk and financial risk
October 22, 2022
Democracy works
October 21, 2022
Who believes risk can be measured?
October 8, 2022
What do we want to get out of regulations?
October 6, 2022
Systemic risk in 2008 and today
October 1, 2022
Why the risk you measure is probably not the risk you care about
September 26, 2022
The impact of risk cycles on business cycles, a historical view
August 28, 2022
Choosing a numerical programming language for economic research: Julia, MATLAB, Python or R
August 13, 2022
Review of "Nuclear folly, a new history of the Cuban missile crisis" and lessons for financial policy
August 12, 2022
Web Appendix for numerical language comparison 2022
July 28, 2022
Crypto and financial stability
July 14, 2022

Risk research
Jon Danielson's research papers on systemic risk, artificial intelligence, risk forecasting, financial regulations and crypto currencies.
© All rights reserved, Jon Danielsson,